Opposition Numbers Will not change Much in Buganda in 2011

Dear Ugandans,
In areas like Wakiso, which has only three NRM MPs, i think the most endangered is Robert Kasule Ssebunye in Kyadondo. i doubt if he will come back. However, given the fact that DP has the leading candidate against Kasule in Regina Bakitte and it is not part of the IPC, the IPC might come in to spoil DP`s advantage here. like they did during the byelections. That is the only way Kasule may survive.
The other NRM candidate Vice-President Gilbert Bukenya. He is one of the most active MPs in the constituency any where in Uganda because he acts practically. He has been all over with his farming implements including 30 tractors the other other week. Almost every body in the constituency knows about growing rice and vegetables and because of him, many are practicing irrigation. I bet he will survive confortably.
The other is the district woman MP Rosemary Sseninde. Like Bukenya, she is very active with her people, she is also active in parliament too as Chairperson of the Social services Committee. She will survive also.

Cartoon by John Nsubuga(FDC)

Surprisingly, the biggest casualities in Wakiso will come from the opposition. Njuba is not coming back, but the seat is being looked at by Ibrahim Ssemujju as his for the taking. In Nakawuki`s constituency, Medard Lubega is on the look out, in Kikungwe`s constituency, NRM has former national footballer Frank Kyazze, but i think Kikungwe will take it again, but after a stiff battle. I also bet that Joseph Balikudembe will come back too.
The other area were NRM candidates may fall is Masaka. However, by the time of the voting, Masake will have three other districts. experience shows that residents of new districts tend to vote for the government-perhaps in appreciation. Balintuma Nsambu is being singled out especially, for comments he made last year. However, he is a hard nut to drive because like Bukenya, he is very practical in the constituency. His area might have the largest concentration of computers in a rural setting, thanks to him. the Likes of former boxer Justin Jjuko (FDC)  and former sports journalist  chris Mubiru (DP) may have no chance against Nsambu.
In the other constuencies, NRM may retain Kalungu East and West, Bukomansimbi too, were Hajji Kisiki Lubyayi is still very strong. In Masaka Municipality, NRM might jump in the fray too, if Kawanga (DP) Mathis Mpugga (Mengo) and Susan Nakawuki (FDC) decide to stand.
Outside those two districts, the other area were NRM candidates may be defeated is Mukono. However, already Mukono nroth is under Nambooze and she will return, Buikwe has Dr Lulume Bayiga who may not return, Mukwaya is not standing again in Mukono South and i here former district chairman Damulira Kyeyune may take the seat for NRM.
Overall, outside Wakiso, Masaka and Mukono, there are no visible signs that the opposition has personalities who can defeat the NRM candidates. And i mean in Nakaseke, Luwero, Nakasongola, Kayunga, ssembabule, Lyantonde, Kiboga, Mubende, Mityana, Gomba, Mpigi and Kyankwanzi.
I doubt if the opposition will increase their stakes in the house for mainly two reasons. One, most of the new big oposition personalities are competing against fellow opposition incumberts. This means that even if they win, the numbers will not change. I have not seen any serious new opposition candidate in many of the rural areas. Some people have been posing the question about new opposition personalities worthy mentioning in rural areas-other than Masaka, Mukono and Wakiso and i find none.
Two, so many new districts and constituencies have been created in rural areas. You do not expect an opposition candidate to win in Gomba, Kyankwanzi, Nakasongola, Bukomansimbi, Sheema, Rubirizi, Ruhinda, Nakaseke etc.
Even in the north and Lango, NRM has identified fairly strong new faces to take on the current opposition MPs. I bet that NRM will further increase their numbers in the house.

No body is creating confusion, but for the last few months, Mengo officials have categorically stated that they will put up candidates. There are also some who are categorised as NRM/Mengo.

Joshua Kato



About ekitibwakyabuganda

Ba Ssebo ne ba Nyabo, Twebaza Abaganda bonna abulumulirwa Obuganda . Era twebaza ne mikwano gya Buganda gyonna wonna wegiri munsi yonna. Omukutu guno gwatandikibwawo nga e’kigendererwa kwe kuyigiriza abantu ebintu ebikwatagana no’Buganda era nokuwanyisiganya ebilowozo nebanaffe abatali Baganda. Abaganda ne mikwano gya Buganda mukozese omukisa guno muwereze ebirowozo byamwe no’bubaka bwona obunaagasa Abaganda na’baana Buganda berizala mu maaso eyo. Obumu ku bubaka obuwerezebwa ku mukutu guno bugyibwa mukuwanyisiganya ebirowozo okubera kumukutu gwa Ugandan’s at Heart (UAH) Forum ogwatandikibwawo Mwami Abbey Kibirige Semuwemba. Era twebaza muzukulu wa Kintu ne Nnambi ono olw’omulimu gwakoledde bana Uganda bonna abali e’bunayira mungeri yo kubagatta mu byempuliziganya no’kutumbula okukolaganira awamu.

2 responses »

  1. Now can you in the media tell us more about these MPs and those lining up to oppose them? I ask because these NRM mps should be singled out for defeat for their lack of clarity /”Balya mu lulime ne muluzzise”/good at double speak

    Hon Namayanja from Luwero, former central youth MP

    Hon Nsambu-Masaka

    Hon Khiddu Makubuya from Luwero-used to admire him, but should b sent home

    I understand Hon Nakawuki is running from Busiro South because Mr. Medard Segonna is eying the seat and with Hon Nambooze’s blessing he has an edge. But if Hon Nakawuki were to beat Hon John Kawanga in Masaka Municipality that would be the biggest upset of the election.

    She should consider retiring and take time off to enjoy. She barely had fun. Out of university or may be even before she got married to a cheating husband aka player and became an MP. She missed out some fun. She never hang out with the girls to have fun and seems burnt out. At 27 or so she is still young and yet feels under siege. She could go back to school or cash in her beauty and fame and join an NGO or create one. Tell her that there is life out the political limelight.

    That way she avoids making such a costly political blunder. To move from Busiro South to Masaka Municipality is quite dramatic.

    Now let me ask you this-Messrs Kateregga and Mr. Kato can chip in too-is Hon John Kawanga being targeted by certain forces? There seems to be something in there than meets the eye.

    Who are the other engendered NRM MPs in Buganda? And who are their challengers? I believe NRM MPs in Buganda must be worried because a good number are going to go down to defeat in 2011


  2. Kyiggyomanyi, other than those with fake academic papers, and those who don’t speak in Parliament, NRM MPs from rural Buganda are ok. A person like Rose Namayanja Nsereko is a power to reckon with so is Alintuma Nsambu. But these others l don’t know.

    Joshua Kato, as you have indicated, it will be dificult for NRM MPs in Kalungu; Lule mawiyah and Anthony Iga to be defeated in theior new district. Sempijja’s standing is questionable as he has problems with academic qualifications, so are two other district chairpersons in the sub region. Lubyayi is also a power since he seems to have solved the academic problems and his only struggle is silence in the legislature. Alintuma Nsambu’s main oppnent is Namyanja, Kampala Deputy Mayor, who is now a Mmengo candidate.

    Imengo has a list of candidates; Muwanga Kivumbi in Butambala even when NRM’s Faizal Ssali
    Kikulukuunyu is chairperson of Amakula ga Kabaka’s Committee in Butambala,
    ETC… Nayanja is a Ssebaggalaist and l think is a Maoist since most DPs in
    Masaka are Maoists. Nsamba is a junior minister in Mmengo. Ssekukibo is
    Lwemiyaga is also a mMengo candidate, so is Rose Namayanja as a Woman MP in
    Nakaseke, Ruth Nankabirwa Sentamu Makumbi as a Woman MP in Kiboga, DP’s
    Kiyingi in Bukomansimbi, NRM’s Major Magulummali Mugumya in Kooki, NRM’s
    Amelia Kyambadde in Mawokota North etc…
    Even in C.A. Mmengo has official candidates the majority being members of
    Buganda Lukiiko. Ony one won, Yusuf Nsubuga Nsambu, thanks to manovres by
    the then Kampala DA Sarapio Karashani otherwise, DP’s Lawrence Kiwanuka had
    defeated him. But Nsambu became a staunch anti-NRM element worse than
    Kiwanuka would have been.

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